Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle Update What is the bitcoin cycle theory? the bitcoin cycle theory is based on a repeated pattern that starts with a halving event — an in built mechanism that occurs every 210,000 blocks or every four years, according to ryan lee, chief analyst at bitget research. Bitcoin's traditional four year cycle is ending as institutional adoption and regulatory clarity create new long term market forces. bitwise cio matt hougan predicts 2026 will be an “up year” for bitcoin, not 2025 the traditional four year bitcoin halving cycle is “dead” according to.
Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle Broken How Will The Bitcoin Halving Impact Price A top expert says crypto’s old four year cycle is dead, with institutional adoption, etfs, and macro tailwinds now driving a longer, steadier surge in momentum. Bitwise invest cio matt hougan said in an x post on friday that the bitcoin four year cycle “is dead” and bitcoin will see an “up year” in 2026. Bitwise investment director matt hougan concluded that four year cycles are no longer relevant for bitcoin. the forces that shaped these cycles have weakened in the new environment. Let’s explore how the four year bitcoin cycle came to dominate investor thinking, why it may no longer apply, and what it could mean for ceos, strategists, and institutional players navigating the next phase of the crypto economy.
Is A Four Year Bitcoin Cycle Dead Bitwise investment director matt hougan concluded that four year cycles are no longer relevant for bitcoin. the forces that shaped these cycles have weakened in the new environment. Let’s explore how the four year bitcoin cycle came to dominate investor thinking, why it may no longer apply, and what it could mean for ceos, strategists, and institutional players navigating the next phase of the crypto economy. The chief investment officer (cio) of crypto asset management firm bitwise, matt hougan, is saying the four year cycle, which has traditionally influenced the boom and bust cycles of bitcoin (btc) and the rest of the crypto market, is “dead.”. The crypto market has changed, and experts say relying on the traditional 4 year halving cycle could leave investors poorly positioned in this new environment. And across the board, the conclusion is the same: the four year bitcoin cycle doesn’t drive the market like it used to. in this article, we will walk you through what changed, why the halving isn’t the market mover it once was, and how institutional money reshaped the landscape. For years, bitcoin has followed a predictable four year cycle—three years of growth, followed by a painful year of decline. this pattern has shaped every bull and bear market since 2014. but 2025 might be different.
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